Is Romney Unbeatable?

   Super Tuesday has come and gone and Mitt Romney did his best to portray himself as the inevitable triumphant victor of the party. Winning 6 of 10 states last night, including bellweathers Ohio and Virginia, Romney’s delegate count has now inched past 400, leaving Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich in the dust. At 176 and 105 respectively, both Santorum and Gingrich are now far behind Romney, the first time that Romney has solidly staked a claim at inevitability.

 

   So this begs the question, is Romney unstoppable now? He has approximately 700 more delegates to go, but everyone else needs 1000. Is there any way for either man to get to the required 1144 delegates? Absolutely! There are 1541 more delegates to be assigned with the biggest hauls coming from California (172), Texas (155), New York (94), Pennsylvania (71), Illinois (67) and Missouri (52). So there is no doubt that TECHNICALLY all four candidates COULD win the nomination. But of those big states I mentioned, Romney will run very competitive or win each and every one. Santorum will likely win Pennsylvania and Gingrich will be competitive in the south, but Romney with his war chest and superior organization will compete for almost every state. This makes his the far and ahead front runner.

 

   At this point, Romney is looking very confident and for good reason. He squeaked out a win in Ohio that three weeks ago he wasn’t even competitive. He is starting to consolidate the base. The only question is, can he pull in the amount required if Gingrich or Santorum drops out and the remaining candidate gets the other’s support? Time will tell. But An Informed Mind has his money on Romney.

 

For an in depth look at delegate counts thus far: http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates

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